News

"The Nuanced Role of Government Credit in Monetary Policy Transmission", with Leila Aghabarari, Deniz Igan, and Bernardus Van Doornik, R&R European Economic Review, Banco Central do Brasil Working Paper, IMF Working Paper, 2026.

“What Can Artificial Intelligence Do for Stagnant Productivity in Latin America and the Caribbean?”, with Bas B. Bakker, Dmitry Vasilyev, Olga Bespalova, Moya Chin, Daria Kolpakova, Archit Singhal, Yuanchen Yang, Latin American Journal of Central Banking, 2025.

"Potential Growth and Productivity in the Caribbean", with Alexander Amundsen, Pierre Guérin, Sinem Kiliç Çelik, Masahiro Nishida, IMF Working Paper, 2025.

“Differential Effects of Macroprudential Policies”, with Nina Biljanovska, Journal of Banking and Finance, 2025.

“How Artificial Intelligence Can Boost Productivity in Latin America”, IMF Blog, March 20, 2025.

“Inflation and Labor Markets: A Bottom-Up View”, with Deniz Igan, Do Lee, Prachi Mishra, IMF Working Paper, 2024.

“Divergence in Post-Pandemic Earnings Growth: Evidence from Micro Data”, with Do Lee, IMF Working Paper, 2024.

“Harnessing Satellite Data to Improve Social Assistance Targeting in the Eastern Caribbean”, with Ryu Matsuura, Flavien Moreau, Joana Pereira, IMF Working Paper, 2024.

“The Dynamic Effects of Local Labor Market Shocks on Small Firms in The United States”, with Philip Barrett, Li Lin, Anke Weber, IMF Working Paper, 2024.

“The Spread of Deposit Insurance and the Global Rise in Bank Asset Risk since the 1970s” won the 2022 Journal of Financial Intermediation Best Paper Award.

“Pricing Protest: The Response of Financial Markets to Social Unrest”, Review of Finance, 2024.

“Macroprudential Policy Effects: Evidence and Open Questions”, with Nina Biljanovska, R. Gaston Gelos, Deniz O Igan, Maria Soledad Martinez Peria, Erlend Nier, Fabian Valencia, IMF Departmental Paper, 2023/002.

“Small and Vulnerable: Small Firm Productivity in the Great Productivity Slowdown”, with Do Lee, Journal of Financial Economics, 2023.